Selasa, 04 Januari 2011

IHSG Updated 04 Jan 2011 & Prediction 05 Jan 2011

IHSG telah naik 6 hari berturut-turut, kemarin IHSG ditutup menguat 32.5 poin ke level 3760, ini berrti IHSG sudah mendekati resistent di level 3788. . Walaupun Sebagian besar saham sudah jenuh beli (siap profit taking) sehingga IHSG sdh dibayang bayangi profit taking, IHSG hari ini (5 Jan 2011) masih berpotensi naik sedikit ke level resistentnya 3788. Berdasarkan history dalam setahun ini IHSG  pernah naik berturut2 terbanyak 10 kali  kemudian baru koreksi (rata2  kenaikan berturut2 keseluruhan IHSG naik 3-4 kali naik baru koreksi).Penguatan IHSG kemarin ditopang oleh saham Consumer, Energi dan Tambang (INDF, ICBP, ADRO, ITMG, BUMI, TINS, ANTM, MEDC, INDY, dll). Berikut Chart IHSG per penutupan 4 Jan 2011 (16:00) :


Support-1  = 3700-3710; Support-2= 3530-3535
Resistant-1 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Candle: 6 white candle (04 Jan 2011), Mav5>Mav20&Mav60 : Cross (30 Dec 2010)
Indicator: MACD= Uptrend;  RSI= Limited Uptrend, Stochastic= Downtrend (Death Cross)

Rekomendasi Saham:
Sebagian besar saham sudah berada dititk resistensinya (SELL), tetapi ada beberapa saham yang masih berpotensi naik. bahkan ada yang sudah breaking price (all time high) dengan volume cukup besar (ADRO)
BUY Saham-saham yang sudah berada di Support dan  yang sudah rebound sedikit dari support, disiplin cut loss (SELL) jika tembus support dengan volume besar dan disiplin profit taking (SELL) jika sdh mendekati titik profit taking atau indicator sdh mendekati titik overbought / pembalikan arah .

Berikut Updated Rekomendasi lengkapnya:
(BUY) TLKM = 7900 (Support Baru = 7900) => Target-1 (breakaway)= 8000 ; Target-2 = 8200
(BUY) ELSA=330 (Support = 325) => Target-1= 335 (breakaway) ; Target-2=370
(BUY) BLTA=345 (Support Baru =340) => Target-1=315 (breakaway, Done); Target-2=340 (Done), Target-3=360
(SELL) SMGR=9900 (Support = 9450) => Target-1=9450 (breakaway,Done); Target-2= 9900 (Done)
(SELL) INCO=4925 (Support  = 4675) => Target-1 =4800 (Breakaway, Done) ; Target-2=4875 (Done)
(HOLD) INDF 5100 (Support = 4700) => Target-1= 4700 (breakaway, Done); Target-2=5200
(HOLD) ADHI 900 (Support =900) => Target = 900 (Breakaway,done), Target-2=1000
(SELL) ISAT 5450 (Support =5050) => Target-1=5250 (breakaway, Done); Target-2=5600 (Done)
(HOLD) BUMI 3250 (Support = 2925)=> Target-1=3025 (Breakaway,Done); Target-2=3150 (Done), Target-3= 3500
(SELL) UNVR 16050 (Support baru= 15550) => Target=16600 (Done)
(HOLD) TINS 2900 (Support =2775) = > Target-1=2775 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=3125
(HOLD) ANTM 2575 (support = 2225) => Target-1= 2400 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2= 2500 (Done), Target-3=2625
(HOLD) INTP 16600 (support baru = 15800) => Target-1=16300 (Breakaway,done); Target-2=17100
(SELL) JSMR 3525 (support = 3275) => Target-1= 3350 (Breakaway,Done); Target-2=3600
(HOLD) ITMG 54300 (support = 50700) => Target-1= 55300 (Done), Target-2 = ?
(WAIT) ASII 52500 (support = 48800) => Target-1= 54900 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=58400
(HOLD) ADRO 2900 (support  = 2500) => Target-1= 2650 (Breakaway, Done), Target-2=?
(BUY) SMCB 2250 (support = 2175) => Target-1= 2325 (Breakaway); Target-2=2425
(SELL) PGAS 4400 (support Baru=  4325) => Target-1= 4325 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=4650
(SELL) AALI 26450 (support = 23800) => Target-1= 26800 (Breakaway); Target-2=27650
(HOLD) ICBP 4975 (support = 4400) => Target-1= 4700 (Breakaway,done); Target-2=5200
(HOLD) GGRM 41100 (support = 38000) => Target-1= 42250 (Breakaway); Target-2=46000
(BUY) BDMN 5500 (support baru = 5400) => Target-1= 6050 (Breakaway); Target-2=6850

Second Liner (LQ45)
(SELL) PTPP 770 (Support =720) => Target-1=790 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2= 820
(BUY) BBTN 1700 (Support baru =1690) => Target-1=1690 (Breakaway, done); Target-2= 1830
(BUY) BJBR 1430 (Support baru=1400) => Target-1= 1650 (Breakaway); Target-2=1780
(HOLD) BIPI 107 (Support =102) => Target-1 =109 (long term Breakaway); Target-2=113
(SELL) ENRG 130 (support = 123) => Target =131 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=140
(SELL) TRUB 82 (Support  =77)=> Target =84 (Done)
(BUY) KRAS 1260 (support = 1130) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway, done); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 385 (support = 380) => Target-1= 390 (Breakaway); Target-2=400
(HOLD) BRAU 570 (support = 520) => Target-1= 550 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2= ?

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