Besok (30 Dec 2010) IHSG (masihkah dapat?) berpotensi melanjutkan penguatan

Setelah naik 3 hari berturut-turut IHSG hari ini ditutup menguat (lagi) ke level 3699.217 (+39.224), diprediksi besok IHSG masih bisa menguat untuk menguji/membentuk resistent (baru) di range 3667-3710, sekaligus menyambut windows dressing (yang sdh mulai tercermin hari ini). Berikut Chart IHSG pada penutupan hari ini 29 Dec 2010 (16:00).

Support-1  = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3310
Resistant-1 = 3677-3710 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Candle: rounding bottom (28 Dec 2010), Mav5&Mav20 : Golden cross (29 Dec 2010)
Indicator: MACD= Uptrend;  RSI= Limited Downtrend, Stochastic= Limited Uptrend

Rekomendasi Saham:
BUY Saham-saham yang sudah berada di Support dan  yang sudah rebound sedikit dari support, disiplin cut loss (SELL) jika tembus support dengan volume besar dan disiplin profit taking (SELL) jika sdh mendekati titik profit taking atau indicator sdh mendekati titik overbought / pembalikan arah .

Berikut Rekomendasi lengkapnya:
(SELL) TLKM = 8000 (Support = 7850) => Target-1 (breakaway, Done)= 8000 ; Target-2 = 8200
(BUY) ELSA=330 (Support = 325) => Target-1= 335 (breakaway) ; Target-2=370
(SELL) BLTA=315 (Support  =300) => Target-1=315 (breakaway, Done); Target-2=340
(BUY) SMGR=9400 (Support Baru = 9450) => Target-1=9450 (breakaway,Done); Target-2= 9900
(SELL) INCO=4800 (Support  = 4675) => Target-1 =4800 (Breakaway, Done) ; Target-2=4875
(BUY) INDF 4875 (Support = 4700) => Target-1= 4700 (breakaway, Done); Target-2=5200
(BUY) ADHI 880 (Support Baru=900) => Target = 900 (Breakaway,done), Target-2=1000
(BUY) ISAT 5150 (Support =5050) => Target-1=5250 (breakaway); Target-2=5850
(BUY) BUMI 3050 (Support = 2925)=> Target-1=3025 (Breakaway,Done); Target-2=3150
(HOLD) UNVR 16200 (Support = 15000) => Target=16600
(BUY) TINS 2800 (Support =2775) = > Target-1=2775 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=3125
(SELL) ANTM 2475 (support = 2225) => Target-1= 2400 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2= 2500 (Done)
(HOLD) INTP 16300 (support = 15500) => Target-1=16300 (Breakaway); Target-2=17100
(HOLD) JSMR 3425 (support = 3275) => Target-1= 3350 (Breakaway); Target-2=3600
(SELL) ITMG 50900 (support = 50000)
(HOLD) ASII 53450 (support = 48800) => Target-1= 54900 (Breakaway); Target-2=58400
(HOLD) ADRO 2525 (support  = 2475) => Target-1= 2650 (Breakaway)
(BUY) SMCB 2275 (support = 2175) => Target-1= 2325 (Breakaway); Target-2=2425
(HOLD) PGAS 4400 (support =  4175) => Target-1= 4325 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=4650
(HOLD) AALI 24700 (support = 23800) => Target-1= 26800 (Breakaway); Target-2=27650
(HOLD) ICBP 4650 (support = 4400) => Target-1= 4700 (Breakaway); Target-2=5200
(BUY) GGRM 40650 (support = 38000) => Target-1= 42250 (Breakaway); Target-2=46000
(HOLD) BDMN 5900 (support = 5550) => Target-1= 6050 (Breakaway); Target-2=6850

Second Liner (LQ45)
(HOLD) PTPP 780 (Support =720) => Target-1=790 (Breakaway); Target-2= 840
(BUY) BBTN 1680 (Support =1630) => Target-1=1820 (Breakaway); Target-2= 1880
(BUY) BJBR 1480 (Support =1440) => Target-1= 1650 (Breakaway); Target-2=1780
(BUY) BIPI 103 (Support =102) => Target-1 =109 (long term Breakaway); Target-2=113
(BUY) ENRG 126 (support = 123) => Target =131 (Breakaway); Target-2=140
(BUY) TRUB 79 (Support  =77)=> Target =84
(SELL) KRAS 1210 (support = 1130) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway, done); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 385 (support baru= 375) => Target-1= 400 (Breakaway); Target-2=415

IHSG (masih) berpotensi melanjutkan penguatan

Setelah naik 2 hari berturut-turut IHSG hari ini ditutup menguat ke level 3659.993 (+34.727), diprediksi besok IHSG masih bisa menguat untuk menguji/membentuk resistent (baru) di range 3667-3710. Berikut Chart IHSG pada penutupan hari ini 28 Dec 2010 (16:00).

Support-1  = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3310
Resistant-1 = 3677-3710 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Candle: rounding bottom (28 Dec 2010), Mav5&Mav20 : Potential Golden cross
Indicator: MACD= Uptrend;  RSI= Uptrend, Stochastic= Limited Uptrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

BUY Saham-saham yang sudah berada di Support dan  yang sudah rebound sedikit dari support, disiplin cut loss jika tembus support dengan volume besar dan disiplin profit taking jika sdh mendekati titik profit taking atau indicator sdh mendekati titik overbought / pembalikan arah .

Berikut Rekomendasi lengkapnya: 

(SELL) TLKM = 8000 (Support = 7850) => Target-1 (breakaway, Done)= 8000 ; Target-2 = 8200
(BUY) ELSA=330 (Support Baru= 325) => Target-1= 335 (breakaway) ; Target-2=370
(BUY) BLTA=305 (Support Baru =300) => Target-1=315 (breakaway); Target-2=340
(SELL) SMGR=9400 (Support = 9200) => Target-1=9450 (breakaway,Done); Target-2= 9900
(SELL) INCO=4800 (Support  = 4675) => Target-1 =4800 (Breakaway, Done) ; Target-2=4875
(BUY) INDF 4825 (Support Baru = 4700) => Target-1= 4700 (breakaway, Done); Target-2=5200
(HOLD) ADHI 880 (Support Baru=840) => Target = 900 (Breakaway), Target-2=1000
(BUY) ISAT 5150 (Support Baru=5050) => Target-1=5250 (breakaway); Target-2=5850
(HOLD) BUMI 3050 (Support = 2925)=> Target-1=3025 (Breakaway,Done); Target-2=3150
(HOLD) UNVR 15900 (Support = 15000) => Target=16600
(SELL) TINS 2750 (Support =2550) = > Target-1=2775 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=3125
(SELL) ANTM 2475 (support = 2225) => Target-1= 2400 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2= 2500 (Done)
(HOLD) INTP 16300 (support = 15500) => Target-1=16450 (Breakaway); Target-2=17100
(HOLD) JSMR 3325 (support = 3275) => Target-1= 3350 (Breakaway); Target-2=3600
(SELL) ITMG 51100 (support baru = 50000)
(HOLD) ASII 53450 (support = 48800) => Target-1= 54900 (Breakaway); Target-2=58400
(BUY) ADRO 2500 (support  = 2475) => Target-1= 2650 (Breakaway)
(BUY) SMCB 2225 (support baru= 2175) => Target-1= 2325 (Breakaway); Target-2=2425
(HOLD) PGAS 4350 (support =  4175) => Target-1= 4325 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=4650
(HOLD) AALI 25000 (support = 23800) => Target-1= 26800 (Breakaway); Target-2=27650
(BUY) ICBP 4575 (support = 4400) => Target-1= 4700 (Breakaway); Target-2=5200


(BUY) GGRM 40200 (support = 38000) => Target-1= 42250 (Breakaway); Target-2=46000
 
Second Liner (LQ45)
(HOLD) PTPP 770 (Support =720) => Target-1=790 (Breakaway); Target-2= 840
(BUY) BBTN 1680 (Support =1630) => Target-1=1820 (Breakaway); Target-2= 1880
(WAIT) BJBR 1460 (Support baru=1440) => Target-1= 1650 (Breakaway); Target-2=1780
(BUY) BIPI 103 (Support =102) => Target-1 =109 (long term Breakaway); Target-2=113
(BUY) ENRG 126 (support = 123) => Target =131 (Breakaway); Target-2=140
(BUY) TRUB 79 (Support baru =77)=> Target =84
(BUY) KRAS 1150 (support = 1130) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 385 (support baru= 375) => Target-1= 400 (Breakaway); Target-2=415

Early Buy Signal - PTPP

Candle: Bulish Enguilfing (23 Dec 2010) Indicator: MACD= Limited Downtrend;  RSI= Uptrend, Stochastic= Uptrend

Rekomendasi:
BUY = 720-750
SELL-1 = 790 (Breakaway)
SELL-2=840

Proyeksi IHSG awal minggu 27 Dec 2010

Setelah IHSG Rebound 2 kali dari 3536 (low 17 Dec 2010) ke 3601 (high 17 Dec 2010) ke 3649 (high 21 Dec 2010) kemudian mengalami koreksi 2 kali 3610 (low 22 Dec 2010) dan 3587 (low 23 Dec 2010), 27 Dec 2010 IHSG di proyeksikan akan bergerak terbatas dan cenderung menguat dikisaran level 3587 s/d 3650, ini ditandai dengan akumulasi pada akhir penutupan 23 Dec 2010 (Candle Hammer).

Berikut Chart IHSG perpenutupan 23 Dec 2010:

Support-1  = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3310
Resistant-1 = 3677 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Candle: Hammer (23 Dec 2010), MAv5 : Rebound Pattern (Rounding Bottom)
Indicator: MACD= Limited Downtrend;  RSI= Limited Downtrend, Stochastic= Limited Uptrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

BUY Saham-saham yang sudah berada di Support dan  yang sudah rebound sedikit dari support, disiplin cut loss jika tembus support dengan volume besar dan disiplin profit taking jika sdh mendekati titik profit taking atau indicaotr sdh mendekati titik overbought/pembalikan arah .

Berikut Rekomendasi lengkapnya: 

(BUY) TLKM = 7900 (Support Baru = 7850) => Target-1 (Done)= 8000 ; Target-2 = 8200
(BUY) ELSA=335 (Support = 330) => Target-1= 370 ; Target-2=390
(BUY) BLTA=305 (Support Baru =305) => Target-1=315 (breakaway); Target-2=340
(BUY) SMGR=9250 (Support Baru = 9200) => Target-1=9450 (breakaway); Target-2= 9900
(BUY) INCO=4675 (Support Baru = 4675) => Target-1 =4800 (Breakaway, Done) ; Target-2=4875
(BUY) INDF 4650 (Support Baru = 4600) => Target-1= 4700 (breakaway); Target-2=5200
(BUY) ADHI 890 (Support Baru=840) => Target = 900 (Breakaway), Target-2=1000
(BUY) ISAT 5100 (Support Baru=5050) => Target-1=5250 (breakaway); Target-2=5850
(BUY) BUMI 2975 (Support Baru = 2925)=> Target-1=3025 (Breakaway)
(HOLD) UNVR 16000 (Support = 15000) => Target=16600
(HOLD) TINS 2725 (Support =2550) = > Target-1=2775 (Breakaway, Done); Target-2=3125
(HOLD) ANTM 2325 (support = 2225) => Target-1= 2400 (Breakaway); Target-2= 2500
(HOLD) INTP 16300 (support = 15500) => Target-1=16450 (Breakaway); Target-2=17100
(BUY) JSMR 3300 (support Baru = 3275) => Target-1= 3350 (Breakaway); Target-2=3600
(SELL) ITMG 50350 (support = 47000)
(HOLD) ASII 52450 (support = 48800) => Target-1= 54900 (Breakaway); Target-2=58400
(BUY) ADRO 2525 (support  = 2475) => Target-1= 2650 (Breakaway)
(BUY) SMCB 2300 (support baru= 2275) => Target-1= 2450 (Breakaway)
(BUY) PGAS 4225 (support =  4175) => Target-1= 4325 (Breakaway); Target-2=4650
(BUY) AALI 24350 (support baru= 23800) => Target-1= 26800 (Breakaway); Target-2=27650
(BUY) ICBP 4500 (support = 4400) => Target-1= 4800 (Breakaway); Target-2=5400

Second Liner (LQ45)
(BUY) PTPP 1640 (Support =720) => Target-1=790 (Breakaway); Target-2= 840
(BUY) BBTN 1640 (Support baru=1630) => Target-1=1820 (Breakaway); Target-2= 1880
(WAIT) BJBR 1470 (Support baru=1400) => Target 1650 (Breakaway); Target-2=1780
(BUY) BIPI 103 (Support =102) => Target 109 (long term Breakaway); Target-2=113
(BUY) ENRG 126 (support = 123) => Target 131 (Breakaway); Target-2=140
(BUY) TRUB 78 (Support baru =78)=> Target 84
(BUY) KRAS 1150 (support = 1130) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 390 (support= 385) => Target-1= 415

IHSG (masih) Menutu ke Resistent di 3677-3688

IHSG hari ini di prediksi masih melanjutkan Penguatan menuju Resisten-1 di 3677-3688, Penguatann akan di pimpin oleh saham Big Cap yang masih naik sedikit kemarin (ISAT, SMGR, INTP, BUMI, dll) .
Berikut Chart per-penutupan 21 Dec 2010 (16:00).

Support-1  = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3315
Resistant-1 = 3677 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Indicator: MACD= Limited Downtrend;  RSI= Downtrend, Stochastic= Uptrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

BUY Saham-saham yang sudah berada di Support dan  yang sudah rebound sedikit dari support, disiplin cut loss jika tembus support dengan volume besar dan disiplin profit taking jika sdh mendekati titik profit taking atau sdh mendekati titik overbought.

Berikut Rekomendasi lengkapnya: 

(HOLD) TLKM = 8000 (Support = 7650) => Target-1 (Done)= 8000 ; Target-2 = 8200
(BUY) ELSA=335 (Support = 330) => Target-1= 370 ; Target-2=390
(BUY) BLTA=305 (Support =300) => Target-1=330; Target-2=345
(HOLD) SMGR=9400 (Support= 9050) => Target 9900
(HOLD) INCO=4675 (Support = 4425) => Target-1 =4775; Target-2=4875
(HOLD) INDF 4650 (Support = 4425) => Target-1= 4800 (breakaway); Target-2=5200
(BUY) ADHI 890 (Support =850) => Target = 980
(BUY) ISAT 5200 (Support =5000) => Target-1=5850; Target-2=6050
(BUY) BUMI 2925 (Support Baru = 3000)=> Target-1=3150 (Breakaway)
(HOLD) UNVR 15900 (Support = 15000) => Target-1=16600; Target-2 =17400
(HOLD) TINS 2700 (Support =2550) = > Target-1=2775 (Breakaway); Target-2=3125
(HOLD) ANTM 2375 (support = 2225) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2= 2625
(HOLD) INTP 16350 (support = 15500) => Target-1=17100 (Breakaway); Target-2=17800
(BUY) JSMR 3300 (support =  3150) => Target-1= 3600 (Breakaway); Target-2=3725
(HOLD) ITMG 52300 (support = 47000) => Target-1= 53000 (Breakaway); Target-2=55300
(HOLD) ASII 52450 (support = 48800) => Target-1= 54900 (Breakaway); Target-2=58400
(BUY) ADRO 2550 (support  = 2475) => Target-1= 2650 (Breakaway)
(BUY) SMCB 2300 (support = 2225) => Target-1= 2450 (Breakaway)
(BUY) PGAS 4300 (support =  4175) => Target-1= 4325 (Breakaway); Target-2=4650
(HOLD) AALI 24850 (support = 23100) => Target-1= 26800 (Breakaway); Target-2=27650
(HOLD) ICBP 4675 (support = 4400) => Target-1= 4800 (Breakaway); Target-2=5400

Second Liner (LQ45)
(BUY) BBTN 1630 (Support =1490) => Target-1=1820 (Breakaway); Target-2= 1880
(BUY) BJBR 1510 (Support =1480) => Target 1650 (Breakaway); Target-2=1780
(BUY) BIPI 103 (Support =102) => Target 109 (Breakaway); Target-2=113
(HOLD) ENRG 129 (support = 123) => Target 131 (Breakaway); Target-2=140
(BUY) TRUB 80 (Support =79)=> Target 84
(BUY) KRAS 1170 (support = 1130) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 400 (support= 385) => Target-1= 415

IHSG Masih Bergerak Pada Level Terbatas 3537-3591

Apakah ini merupakan area akumulasi (buying area) atau Area Distribusi (Sell Off) Area?
karena sudah berada pada Overbought Area di prediksi IHSG akan rebound dulu ke Resistent-1 di 3677. 
Berikut Chart IHSG per-penutupan hari ini 20 Dec 2010:

Support-1  = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3315
Resistant-1 = 3677 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Indicator: MACD= Limited Downtrend;  RSI= Uptrend, Stochastic= Uptrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

BUY Saham-saham yang sudah berada di Support dan  yang sudah rebound sedikit dari support, disiplin cut loss jika tembus support dengan volume besar dan disiplin profit taking jika sdh mendekati titik profit taking atau sdh mendekati titik overbought.

Berikut Rekomendasi lengkapnya: 

(HOLD) TLKM = 7850 (Support = 7650) => Target-1 (Done)= 8000 ; Target-2 = 8200
(BUY) ELSA=335 (Support Baru = 330) => Target-1= 370 ; Target-2=390
(BUY) BLTA=310 (Support Baru  =300) => Target-1=330; Target-2=345
(BUY) SMGR=9300 (Support Baru= 9050) => Target 9900
(BUY) INCO=4500 (Support Baru = 4425) => Target-1 =4775; Target-2=4875
(BUY) INDF 4475 (Support  Baru = 4425) => Target-1= 4800 (breakaway); Target-2=5200
(BUY) ADHI 870 (Support =850) => Target = 980
(BUY) ISAT 5100 (Support Baru =5000) => Target-1=5850; Target-2=6050
(SELL) BUMI 2925 (Support Baru = 2775)
(HOLD) UNVR 15650 (Support Baru = 15000) => Target-1=16600; Target-2 =17400
(BUY) TINS 2675 (Support Baru =2550) = > Target-1=2775 (Breakaway); Target-2=3125
(BUY) ANTM 2325 (support Baru = 2225) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2= 2625
(HOLD) INTP 16300 (support baru= 15500) => Target-1=17100 (Breakaway); Target-2=17800
(BUY) JSMR 3275 (support baru =  3150) => Target-1= 3600 (Breakaway); Target-2=3725
(BUY) ITMG 51000 (support Baru = 47000) => Target-1= 53000 (Breakaway); Target-2=55300
(HOLD) ASII 51250 (support Baru = 48800) => Target-1= 54900 (Breakaway); Target-2=58400
(BUY) ADRO 2550 (support baru = 2475) => Target-1= 2650 (Breakaway)
(BUY) SMCB 2755 (support Baru = 2225) => Target-1= 2450 (Breakaway)
(BUY) PGAS 4250 (support Baru =  4175) => Target-1= 4325 (Breakaway); Target-2=4650
(BUY) AALI 23650 (support Baru = 23100) => Target-1= 26800 (Breakaway); Target-2=27650
(BUY) ICBP 4550 (support = 4400) => Target-1= 4800 (Breakaway); Target-2=5400

Second Liner (LQ45)
(WAIT) BBTN 1560 (Support Baru =1490) => Target-1=1820 (Breakaway); Target-2= 1880
(WAIT) BJBR 1520 (Support Baru =1480) => Target 1650 (Breakaway); Target-2=1780
(BUY) BIPI 102 (Support Baru =102) => Target 109 (Breakaway); Target-2=113
(HOLD) ENRG 126 (support Baru= 123) => Target 131 (Breakaway); Target-2=140
(BUY) TRUB 79 (Support Baru =79)=> Target 84
(BUY) KRAS 1160 (support baru= 1130) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 390 (support Baru= 385) => Target-1= 415

Setelah 5 Hari Berturut-turut IHSG sudah rebound hari ini

IHSG di prediksi akan tetap Rebound Hari ini dan minimal sampai Senin, Buy saham 2 yang masih di support (belum naik) dan Mulai Sell hari Senin 20 Dec 2010. Cahrt IHSG 17 Dec 2010 (14:05)

 Indicator: MACD: Downtrend; RSI: Uptrend ; Stochastic: Uptrend (GC)
Rekomendasi:
Buy Saham yang sudah di support tetapi belum naik atau baru naik sedikit: ICBP, INDF, TLKM, UNVR, AALI, TINS, INCO, ANTM, ASII, ELSA dll

Saham2 Yang Siap Rebound (Telah membentuk Candle Hammer)

UNVR, ASII   & TLKM

IHSG turun empat hari berturut-turut dan telah menembus Support (3677-3688)

Per-penutupan hari ini IHSG ditutup melemah (31.353) point ke level 3658.314, ini dibawah support 3677-3688. Dari chart terlihat ada support baru index di kisaran 3610-3620 yang sekaligus menjadi support-1 dari index.
Berdasarkan historikal IHSG jika indeks turun 4-5 hari berturut-turut maka akan rebound minimal 2 hari.

Berikut chart IHSG per penutupan hari ini 15 Dec 2010 (16:00) :

Support-1 = 3610-3620; Support-2 = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3315
Resistant-1 = 3677 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Indicator: MACD=Downtrend;  RSI= Downtrend & Stochastic= Limited Downtrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

BUY Saham-saham yang sudah berada di Support atau yang sudah rebound sedikit dari support,. Saham2 tersebut akan mengikuti rebound IHSG yang di prediksi besok atau lusa.

Berikut Rekomendasi lengkapnya: 

(BUY) TLKM = 7800 (Support Baru = 7650) => Target-1= 8000 ; Target-2 = 8200
(BUY) ELSA=335 (Support Baru = 325) => Target-1= 370 ; Target-2=390
(BUY) BLTA=315 (Support Baru  =310) => Target-1=330; Target-2=345
(BUY) SMGR=9400 (Support Baru= 9300) => Target 9900
(BUY) INCO=4650 (Support Baru = 4600) => Target-1 =4776; Target-2=4875
(BUY) INDF 4650 (Support  Baru = 4600) => Target 5000; Target-2=5200
(SELL) ADHI 920 (Support Baru  =850)
(BUY) ISAT 5450 (Support Baru =5250) => Target 5850; Target-2=6050
(SELL) BUMI 2950 (Support  = 2625)
(BUY) UNVR 15800 (Support Baru = 15350) => Target-1=16600; Target-2 =17400
(BUY) TINS 2700 (Support Baru =2650) = > Target-1=2775 (Breakaway); Target-2=3125
(BUY) ANTM 2375 (support Baru = 2375) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2= 2625
(BUY) INTP 15950 (support baru= 15750) => Target-1=17100 (Breakaway); Target-2=17800
(BUY) JSMR 3550 (support baru =  3400) => Target-1= 3600 (Breakaway); Target-2=3725
(BUY) ITMG 51000 (support Baru = 49900) => Target-1= 53000 (Breakaway); Target-2=55300
(BUY) ASII 52800 (support Baru = 51800) => Target-1= 54900 (Breakaway); Target-2=58400
(BUY) ADRO 2550 (support baru = 2500) => Target-1= 2650 (Breakaway)
(SELL) SMCB 2425 (support Baru = 2375)
(BUY) PGAS 4300 (support Baru =  4150) => Target-1= 4650 (Breakaway)
(BUY) AALI 25250 (support Baru = 24300) => Target-1= 26800 (Breakaway); Target-2=27650
(BUY) ICBP 4500 (support Baru = 4400) => Target-1= 4800 (Breakaway); Target-2=5400

Second Liner (LQ45)
(BUY) BBTN 1680 (Support Baru =1660) => Target-1=1820 (Breakaway); Target-2= 1880
(BUY) BJBR 1590 (Support Baru =1570) => Target 1650 (Breakaway); Target-2=1780
(BUY) BIPI 105 (Support Baru =103) => Target 109 (Breakaway); Target-2=113
(SELL) ENRG  130 (support = 121)
(BUY) TRUB 80 (Support Baru =80)=> Target 84
(BUY) KRAS 1170 (support baru= 1160) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(SELL) APLN 405 (support Baru= 395)

IHSG tembus Support 3677-3688, cut loss?

Hari ini (Jam 10:00) Indeks menembus support-1 (3677-3680), apakah waktunya cut loss?
Lihat penutupan hari ini, jika ditutup cukup jauh dibawah support dengan volume transaksi harian yang besar, lakukan cutloss, dan jangan lupa buy back jika sinyal rebound IHSG sdh terbentuk.

berikut technical untuk index per chart jam 10:00 :

Support-1 = 3677-3688 (Tembus); Support-2 = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3315
Resistant-1 = 3777 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Indicator: MACD=Limited Downtrend ; RSI = Limited Uptrend & Stochastic= Limited Downtrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

Banyak Saham yang sudah tembus supportnya, hentikan pembelian  (buy back) sampai indeks muncul sinyal rebound, jika tidak ada sinyal rebound hari ini dan jika ditutup cukup jauh dibawah support dengan volume transaksi harian yang besar, lakukan cutloss, dan jangan lupa buy back jika sinyal rebound IHSG sdh terbentuk lagi. Early Sinyal Rebound yang diharapkan Hammer candle (hari ini).

IHSG mulai membentuk Double Top ?

IHSG Pada penutupan 10 Dec 2010, ditutup melemah 38.38 point ke level 3747.714 atau di bawah Resistentnya (R-1=3777), Dengan penurunan ini IHSG mulai membentuk pola Double Top (Pola koreksi yg kuat) dengan konfirmasi di Support S-1= 3677-3688, jika resistent ini tembus maka kemungkinan besar koreksi besar akan terjadi (S-2=3530-3535 & S-3= 3300-3313. Berikut Chart per 10 Dec 2010:

Support-1 = 3677-3688; Support-2 = 3530-3535; Support-3=3300-3315
Resistant-1 = 3777 ; Resistant-2 = 3788 (Breakaway Resistant)
Indicator: MACD=Downtrend RSI & Stochastic= Downtrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

Saham-saham yang sudah mencapai Target (Resistent) cenderung Akan koreksi dahulu & Saham2 yang baru mulai naik (Rebound dari Support) akan menjadi penopang koreksi IHSG.

Titik terbaik untuk Buy adalah pada saat menyentuk titik support saham & titik support IHSG.

Berikut Rekomendasi lengkapnya: 

(BUY) TLKM = 7850 (Support Baru = 7750) => Target-1= 8200 ; Target-2 = 8500
(BUY) ELSA=350 (Support Baru = 340) => Target-1= 360 (Done); Target-2=390
(BUY) BLTA=325 (Support  =320) => Target-1=330; Target-2=345
(BUY) SMGR=9350 (Support = 9100) => Target 9900
(SELL) INCO=4750 (Support = 4575)
(BUY) INDF 4750 (Support  = 4650) => Target 5000; Target-2=5200
(SELL) ADHI 890 (Support Baru  =800) 
(SELL) ISAT 5800 (Support Baru =5350)
(SELL) BUMI 2975 (Support baru = 2625)
(BUY) UNVR 16600 (Support Baru = 16150) => Target-1=17000; Target-2 =17400
(BUY) TINS 2800 (Support  =2775) = > Target-1=2875; Target-2=3125
(BUY) ANTM 2450 (support 2475) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2= 2625
(BUY) INTP 15950 (support baru= 15600) => Target-1=17100 (Breakaway); Target-2=17800
(BUY) JSMR 3550 (support baru =  3500) => Target-1= 3600 (Breakaway); Target-2=3725
(SELL) ITMG 52300 (support 46600)
(SELL) ASII 53000 (support 52500)
(BUY) ADRO 2600 (support baru = 2575) => Target-1= 2625 (Breakaway)
(SELL) SMCB 2425 (support 2325)
(BUY) PGAS 4475 (support 4400) => Target-1= 4650 (Breakaway)
(SELL) AALI 26750 (support 25100)
(BUY) ICBP 4600-4750 (support 4600) => Target-1= 5150 (Breakaway); Target-2=5400

Second Liner (LQ45)
(BUY) BBTN 1810 (Support =1770) => Target 1880
(SELL) BJBR 1650 (Support=1270)
(BUY) BIPI 107 (Support Baru =104) => Target 109 (Breakaway); Target-2=113
(SELL) ENRG  129 (support Baru = 121) => Target=147
(SELL) TRUB 84 (Support baru=82)
(BUY) KRAS 1210 (support baru= 1200) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(HOLD) APLN 405 (support  385) => Target-1= 420 (Breakaway); Target-2=470

ICBP Early Buy Signal (Candle Hammer)

Rekomendasi BUY
Buy Range: 4600-4675
Sell Target: >= 5200

Candle Stick = Hammer:
MACD= Limited Downtrend, RSI & Stochastic: Early Uptrend

Berikut Chart per closing 09 Dec 2010 :

IHSG (berhasil?) Menembus Resisten di 3777 menjadi 3786.097

IHSG per penutupan Hari ini 09 Dec 2010 (16:00) ditutup menguat 16.1 point menjadi 3786.097.Besok diprediksi akan mencoba menguji support baru di 3777, di posisi ini jika tidak tembus support maka akan naik kelevel lebih tinggi (All Time High), kemungkinan ke 3800 dulu.  Berikut Chart IHSG 09 Dec 2010 (16:00) :

Support-1 = 3777; Support-2 = 3710-3725
Resistant-1 = 3786 (Breakaway Resistant)
Indicator: MACD=Uptrend; RSI & Stochastic= Limited Uptrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

Saham-saham yang sudah mencapai Target (Resistent) cenderung Akan koreksi dahulu & Saham2 yang baru mulai naik (Rebound dari Support) akan menjadi penopang koreksi IHSG, Berikut Rekomendai lengkapnya: 

(BUY) TLKM = 8000 (Support= 7900) => Target-1= 8300 ; Target-2 = 8500
(BUY) ELSA=360 (Support Baru = 330) => Target-1= 330 (Breakaway) (Done), Target-2=360 (Done); Target-3=370 => Start Profit Taking (360-370)
(BUY) BLTA=335 (Support  =320) => Target-1=330 (Done); Target-2=345 => Siap2 Profit Taking (360-370)
(SELL) SMGR=9800 (Support= 9100) => Target 9900 => Profit Taking (Done Today 9800-9900)
(BUY) INCO=4750 (Support  = 4575) => Target-1=4825; Target-2= 5000
(BUY) INDF 4750 (Support Baru  =4650) => Target 5000; Target-2=5200
(BUY) ADHI 890 (Support  =770) => Target 910 => Siap2 Profit Taking (>910)
(SELL) ISAT 5800 (Support =5150) => Target 5850 => Profit Taking (Done Today 5700-5850)
(BUY) BUMI 3025 (Support baru = 3000) => Target=3475
(BUY) UNVR 16600 (Support = 16100) => Target-1=17000; Target-2 =17400
(BUY) TINS 2800 (Support  =2775) = > Target-1 2875; Target-2=3125
(BUY) ANTM 2450 (support 2450) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2= 2625
(BUY) INTP 16350 (support baru 16100) => Target-1=17100 (Breakaway); Target-2=17800
(BUY) JSMR 3550 (support 3525) => Target-1= 3600 (Breakaway); Target-2=3725
(SELL) ITMG 52750 (support 46600) => Target-1= 51800 (Breakaway); Target-2=55000 => Start Profit Taking (> 52750)
(SELL) ASII 54550 (support 52500) => Target-1= 54800 (Breakaway); Target-2=55800 => Profit Taking (Done 54550)
(SELL) ADRO 2625 (support 2500) => Target-1= 2625 (Breakaway) => Profit Taking (Done 2625-2650)
(HOLD) SMCB 2425 (support 2325) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2=2575
(SELL) PGAS 4525 (support 4400) => Target-1= 4650 (Breakaway) => Profit Taking (Done 4550-4600)
(SELL) AALI 267100 (support 25100) => Target-1= 27200 (Breakaway) => Profit Taking (Done 26550-27550)
(BUY) ICBP 4600-4750 (support 4600) => Target-1= 5150 (Breakaway); Target-2=5400

Second Liner (LQ45)
(BUY) BBTN 1810 (Support =1770) => Target 1880
(SELL) BJBR 1650 (Support=1270) => Target 1620 => Profit Taking (Done 1620-1650)
(BUY) BIPI 107 (Support=100) => Target 109 (Breakaway); Target-2=113 => Siap2 Profit Taking (109 dan beli lagi  jika harga bertahan > 109)
(BUY) ENRG  133 (support = 131) => Target=147
(BUY) TRUB 80 (Support baru=79) => Target  84
(BUY) KRAS 1210 (support baru= 1200) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 405 (support  385) => Target-1= 420 (Breakaway); Target-2=470

IHSG (masih) Menuju Resisten di 3777

IHSG per penutupan Hari ini 08 Dec 2010 (16:00) ditutup menguat 46.7 point menjadi 3679.99.
Besok diprediksi akan mencoba menguji resistent 3777, di posisi ini jika tidak tembus kelevel lebih tinggi akan berpotensi membentuk double top. Berikut Chart IHSG 08 Dec 2010 (16:00) :

Support-1 = 3700-3710; Support-2 = 3525-3535
Resistant-1 = 3777 (Double Top)
Indicator: MACD=Uptrend; RSI & Stochastic= Limited Uptrend

Rekomendasi Saham:

Saham-saham yang sudah mencapai Target (Resistent) cenderung Akan koreksi dahulu & Saham2 yang baru mulai naik (Rebound dari Support) akan menjadi penopang koreksi IHSG, Berikut Rekomendai lengkapnya: 

(BUY) TLKM = 8000 (Support= 7900) => Target-1= 8300 ; Target-2 = 8500
(BUY) ELSA=320 (Support Baru = 320) => Target-1= 330 (Breakaway), Target-2=360
(BUY) BLTA=325 (Support  =320) => Target-1=330; Target-2=345
(SELL) SMGR=9700 (Support= 9100) => Target 9900 => Profit Taking (Done Today 9800-9900)
(BUY) INCO=4700 (Support baru = 4600) => Target-1=4825; Target-2= 5000
(BUY) INDF 4725 (Support  =4525) => Target 5000; Target-2=5200
(BUY) ADHI 820 (Support  =770) => Target 910
(SELL) ISAT 5850 (Support Baru =5150) => Target 5850 => Profit Taking (Done Today 5700-5850)
(BUY) BUMI 3125 (Support baru = 3050) => Target=3475
(BUY) UNVR 16550 (Support baru = 16100) => Target-1=17000; Target-2 =17400
(BUY) TINS 2800 (Support Baru =2775) = > Target-1 2875; Target-2=3125
(BUY) ANTM 2475 (support baru 2450) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2= 2625
(BUY) INTP 16800 (support baru 16400) => Target-1=17100 (Breakaway); Target-2=17800
(BUY) JSMR 3550 (support baru 3525) => Target-1= 3600 (Breakaway); Target-2=3725

(SELL) ITMG 61500 (support baru 46600) => Target-1= 51800 (Breakaway); Target-2=55000
(SELL) ASII 54550 (support baru 52500) => Target-1= 54800 (Breakaway); Target-2=55800
(SELL) ADRO 2625 (support baru 2500) => Target-1= 2625 (Breakaway)
(HOLD) SMCB 2425 (support 2325) => Target-1= 2500 (Breakaway); Target-2=2575
(HOLD) PGAS 4600 (support 4400) => Target-1= 4650 (Breakaway)
(SELL) AALI 26550 (support 25100) => Target-1= 27200 (Breakaway)

Second Liner (LQ45)
(BUY) BBTN 1800 (Support baru =1770) => Target 1880
(SELL) BJBR 1600 (Support=1270) => Target 1620
(BUY) BIPI 104 (Support=100) => Target 109
(BUY) ENRG  136 (support baru = 131) => Target=147
(BUY) TRUB 79 (Support baru=78) => Target  84
(BUY) KRAS 1200 (support  1190) => Target-1= 1250 (Breakaway); Target-2=1360
(BUY) APLN 400 (support  405) => Target-1= 420 (Breakaway); Target-2=470

ADHI Early Buy Signal (Candle: Hammer)

Rekomendasi BUY
Buy Range: 770-840
Sell Target: >= 910

Candle Stick = Hammer:
MACD, RSI & Stochastic: Limited downtrend

Berikut Chart per closing 06 Dec 2010 :

IHSG menemukan Resistensi di 3700-3710

Setelah naik selama 3 hari berturut2, IHSG berada pada level Resisten barunya nya di antara 3700-3710.
Apakah akan melanjutkan kenaikan atau malah koreksi ke support 3528.

Berikut Chart per closing 03 Dec 2010:

Support-1 = 3525-3535; Support-2 = 3315
Resistant-1 = 3700-3710
Indicator: MACD=Uptrend; RSI & Stochastic= Limited Uptrend

Rekomendasi:
- Sell Saham yang sudah sampai/mendekati Resistent nya  : B7, BBTN, PGAS, UNVR, etc
- Buy Saham yang masih ketinggalan kereta (masih dekat support)  : TLKM, ELSA, MEDC, ANTM, TINS, INCO

MEDC di Persimpangan (05 Dec 2010)

MEDC berada di persimpangan, ditengah Berita Negatif (Tidak jadi diakuisisi Pertamina) dan Rumor Positif (akan diakuisis Investor Tim Teng di harga 4000). Sebetulnya secara technical analisys MEDC seperti apa?
berikut chart per closing 03 Dec 2010:

Candlestick Pattern: Bullish Enguilfing (but doubt by shooting star candle)
Indicator: RSI  Uptrend but MACD & Stochastic = Limited Downtren

Recomendation:
Buy Range: 3125-3250
Profit Taking: >= 3600  (Cutloss < 3125 with big volume)

Jangan Lupa Profit Taking Hari Ini

Untuk Saham2 yang sudah mencapai Target, Jangan Lupa untuk Profit Taking Hari Ini, karena hari ini IHSG menuju titik resistant di 3777

Updated Rekomendasi Saham:

TLKM = 8150 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA=330 (Support = 305) => Target 360 (need more volume at least 80000 lot a day) => Siap2 Profit Taking
BLTA=330 (Support  =285) => Target 340 => Profit Taking (Done 330-335)
SMGR=9500 (Support= 9100) => Target 9900=> Siap2 Profit Taking
INCO=4675 (Support  = 4400) => Target 5100
INDF 4950 (Support  =4525) => Target 5200 => Profit Taking (Done 4950-4975)
ADHI 880 (Support  =870) => Target 1000
ISAT 5550 (Support Baru =5150) => Target 5700 => Profit Taking (Done 5650-5700)
BUMI 2950 (Support= 2625) => Target=3000 => Profit Taking (Done 2950-3000)
UNVR 16850 (Support= 14400) => Target =17400 => Profit Taking (Done 16950-17000)
TINS 2825 (Support =2600) = > Target 2825 => Profit Taking (Done 2825-2850)
ANTM 2525 (support 2225) => Target 2725
INTP 16750 (support 16250) => Target 18350
JSMR 3600 (support 3350) => Target 3700 => Siap2 Profit Taking

Second Liner (LQ45)
BBTN 1860 (Support=1675) => Target 2000 => Siap2 Profit Taking
BJBR 1500 (Support=1270) => Target 1510 => Siap2 Profit Taking
BIPI 101 (Support=100) => Target 109 => Siap2 Profit Taking
ENRG  139 (support baru = 121) => Target-1 = 131 (Done), Target-2=150 => Profit Taking (Done 140)
TRUB 81 (Support=75) => Target  84 => Siap2 Profit Taking

ELSA - Early Signal Break Volume (Strong Buy)

Saat ini : 2 Dec 2010 (10:50 WIB)
Buy Point : 310-325
Sell Target: > 360

Akankah BBTN membentuk V Bottom besok ?

Buy Range: 1720-1800
Profit Taking: >= 1930
Candlestick Pattern: Bullish Enguilfing (potensial v bottom)
Indicator: RSI & Stochastic = Early Uptrend but MACD=Limited Downtrend

UNVR Chart Teknikal berkorelasi dengan IHSG (BUY)

Buy Range: 15000-16000
Profit Taking: >= 17200
Candlestick Pattern: Bullish Enguilfing
Indicator: RSI & Stochastic = Early Uptrend but MACD=Limited Downtrend

IHSG Reversal Signal 01 Dec 2010 (Rebound)

IHSG membentuk signal reversal pada penutupan market hari ini 01 Dec 2010, Candle Piercing Line, Indicator RSI & Stokastik menjadi uptrend & tetapi MACD masih limited downtrend, IHSG ditutup di level 3619 dan siap menuju keresistent berikutnya di 3667-3700, berikut chart nya:

Support-1 = 3525-3535; Support-2 = 3315
Resistant-1 = 3677-3700
Indicator: MACD=Limited Downtrend; RSI & Stochastic=Early Uptrend

Updated Rekomendasi Saham:

TLKM = 8150 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA=315 (Support = 305) => Target 360 (need more volume at least 80000 lot a day)
BLTA=330 (Support  =285) => Target 340 => Siap2 Profit Taking
SMGR=9250 (Support= 9100) => Target 9900
INCO=4550 (Support  = 4400) => Target 5100
INDF 4800 (Support  =4525) => Target 5200 => Siap2 Profit Taking
ADHI 910 (Support  =870) => Target 1000
ISAT 5250 (Support Baru =5150) => Target 5700
BUMI 2850 (Support= 2625) => Target=3000 => Siap2 Profit Taking
UNVR 15700 (Support= 14400) => Target =17400
TINS 2725 (Support =2600) = > Target 2825 => Siap2 Profit Taking
ANTM 2450 (support 2225) => Target 2725
INTP 16700 (support 16250) => Target 18350
JSMR 3525 (support 3350) => Target 3700 => Siap2 Profit Taking

Second Liner (LQ45)
BBTN 1770 (Support=1675) => Target 2000
BJBR 1500 (Support=1270) => Target 1510 => Siap2 Profit Taking
BIPI 101 (Support=100) => Target 109
ENRG  139 (support baru = 121) => Target-1 = 131 (Done), Target-2=150  => Siap2 Profit Taking
TRUB 81 (Support=75) => Target  84 => Siap2 Profit Taking

IHSG Menuju Titik Support di 3315 (Downtrend)

Issue regional (Konflik Korea Selatan & Utara), menjadi awal pemicu koreksi Regional & Global termasuk IHSG, IHSG dalam medium term (2 minggu s/d 1 bulan) di prediksi akan membentuk support kuat baru diantara 3315-3500 (setelah tertembusnya support di 3535 yang juga merupakan titik support long term). Hampir semua saham sudah menembus supportnya dan akan menuju support baru yang lebih rendah, berikut IHSG per penutupan hari ini 30 Nov 2010 (16:00).

Indicator MACD, RSI & Stochastic = Limited Downtrend

Support-1=3315-3500; Resistent-1=3535 Resistent-2=3590

Best Entry Pada saat IHSG muncul pola reversal (masih belum kelihatanm skg lebih baik Wait and See), jika ingin masuk harus disiplin cut loss dan profit taking minor rebound 

Hampir Semua Saham yang sudah sampai profit Taking Target nya, Sudah kembali ke titik Buy Back nya lagi :) (termasuk  Bakrie-7)

Rekomendasi Saham:

TLKM = 7950 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA=310 (Support = 305) => Target 360 (need more volume at least 80000 lot a day)
BLTA=315 (Support Baru =285) => Target 340
SMGR=9200 (Support= 9100) => Target 9900
INCO=4475 (Support Baru = 4400) => Target 5100
INDF 4550 (Support Baru =4525) => Target 5200
ADHI 880 (Support Baru =870) => Target 1000
ISAT 5400 (Support =5250) => Target 5700
BUMI 2650 (Support= 2625) => Target=3000
UNVR 15000 (Support= 14400) => Target =17450
TINS 2625 (Support Baru=2600) = > Target 2825
ANTM 2325 (support 2225) => Target 2725
INTP 16600 (New support 16250) => Target 18350
JSMR 3450 (New support 3350) => Target 3700

Second Liner (LQ45)
BBTN 1750 (Support=1675) => Target 2000
BJBR 1450 (Support=1270) => Target 1510
BIPI 101 (Support=100) => Target 109
ENRG  121 (support = 101) => Target 131
TRUB 80 (Support=75) => Target  84

ELSA wait For Break Volume (approx 80,000 lot)

Amati ELSA, Jika Volume sdh tembus 80,000 lot dan harga tetap diatas 305 atau naik sedikit silakan ikut,
Best Buy entry 305-315, Profit Taking-1=340, Profit Taking-2= 360, Long Term Target = 420

IHSG masih Uptrend untuk Medium/Long Term tetapi Downtrend untuk short Therm

Walaupun IHSG sudah mengalami penurunan yang cukup besar, tetapi masih dalam trend uptrend untuk jangka menegah-panjang, Support-1 = 3633 sudah berhasil membuat rebound di hari ini, jika index regional membaik, maka IHSG akan rebound cukup besar besok, jika tidak, maka index akan mecoba support-2 di 3590

Berikut chart per closing 24 Nov 2010 (16:00).

Indicator MACD, RSI & Stochastic = Downtrend
Support-1=3633; Support-2=3590

Updated Rekomendasi Saham:
TLKM = 8150 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200 => on the track
ELSA=305 (Support baru = 305) => Target 360 (need more volume at least 80000 lot a day)=> on the track
BLTA=345 (Support Baru =325) => Target 410 => Cut loss 340, New Buy Back Point 325-335
SMGR=9600 (Support= 9100) => Target 10000 => Profit Taking 9800-9900, Buy Back Point 9100-9200
INCO=4750 (Support Baru= 4650) => Target 5100 => Cut loss 4800, New Buy Back Point 4650-4700
INDF 4775 (Support =4725) => Target 5200 => Cut Loss 4800, New Buy Back Point 4725-4750
ADHI 910 (Support Baru =890) => Target 1000 => Cut Loss 900, New Buy Back Point 890
ISAT 5700 (Support =5600) => Target 6300 => Profit Taking 6000-6100, Buy Back Point 5600-5700
BUMI 2825 (Support= 2625) => Target-1=2625 (done); Target-2=3000=> Profit Taking 2900-3000, Buy Back Point 2625-2800
UNVR 17300 (Support= 16100) => Target =17500 (maybe tommorow)=> Profit Taking 17400, Buy Back Point 16100-16600
TINS 2725 (Support Baru=2675) = > Targer 3100 => Cut Loss 2800, New Buy Back Point 2675-2700
ANTM 2625 (support 2450) => Target 2725 => Profit Taking 2600-2625, Buy Back Point 2450-2475
INTP 17250 (support 16500) => Target 18350 =>Profit Taking 17700-17800, Buy Back Point 16500-16700
JSMR 3450 (support 3400) => Target 3700 (candle v bottom but need more volume) => on the track

Second Liner (LQ45)
BIPI 101 (Support=100) => Target 109 (candle V bottom, volume increase) => on the track
ENRG  115 (support = 101) => Target 120 (B7 euforia, masih ketinggalan kereta) => on the track
TRUB 80 (Support=79) => Target  86 ((B7 euforia, masih ketinggalan kereta) => on the track

Second Liner (non LQ45)
 NIKL 450 (support = 430)  => Target-1 480, Target-2= 510 (sudah Break out volume 20,000 lot) => on the track

IHSG akan menuju Resistent di 3777

Per-closing 22 Nov 2010 (16:00),  IHSG ditutup menguat menjadi 3741.229 (+16 Point), dan perdagangan besok diprediksi menguat untuk menguji resistent di 3777.
berikut chart IHSG:

Resistent=3777
Support-1=3667, Support-2=3590
Indicator MACD, RSI & Stochastic = limited uptrend

Updated Rekomendasi Saham:
TLKM = 8400 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200=> on the track
ELSA=315 (Support baru = 310) => Target 360 (need more volume at least 80000 lot a day)=> on the track
BLTA=355 (Support =340) => Target 410 => on the track
SMGR=9900 (Support= 9100) => Target 10000 => siap2 profit taking
INCO=4875 (Support= 4750) => Target 5100 => on the track
INDF 4900 (Support =4875) => Target 5200 => on the track
ADHI 920 (Support =900) => Target 1000 => on the track
ISAT 6100 (Support =5600) => Target 6300 => siap2 profit taking
BUMI 2825 (New Support= 2625) => Target-1=2625 (done); Target-2=3000=> saatnya profit taking
UNVR 17300 (Support= 16100) => Target =17500 (maybe tommorow)=> siap2 profit taking
TINS 2850 (New Support=2800) = > Targer 3100 => on the track
ANTM 2625 (New support 2450) => Target 2725 => siap2 profit taking
INTP 17800 (New support 16500) => Target 18350 => on the track
JSMR 3475 (support 3400) => Target 3700 (candle v bottom but need more volume) => on the track

Second Liner (LQ45)
BIPI 102 (Support=100) => Target 109 (candle V bottom, volume increase) => on the track
ENRG  116 (support = 101) => Target 120 (B7 euforia, masih ketinggalan kereta) => on the track
TRUB 81 (Support=79) => Target  86 ((B7 euforia, masih ketinggalan kereta)

Second Liner (non LQ45)
 NIKL 440 (support = 430)  => Target 510 (need Break out volume 20,000 lot)

Target Jual Saham Bakrie Group (B7)

Berdasarkan resistent nya berikut target jual Bakrie-7:

BUMI => Target Jual harga= 2900-3000
BNBR => Target Jual harga= 75-85
ENRG => Target Jual harga-1= 120-122; Target harga jual-2= 128-132
ELTY=> Target Jual Harga = 170-180
UNSP=> Target Jual Harga = 390-400
TRUB => Target Jual Harga = 86-88
BTEL => Target Jual Harga = 250-255

IHSG 18 Nov 2010 (16:00)

IHSG hari ini bergerak pada rentang  3641-3682, dan sesuai prediksi sebelumnya ditutup menguat pada level 3677 (resistent), dari chart dapat dilihat increment support low wedge bergerak naik di kisaran 4 point, diprediksi Support low wedge IHSG untuk besok 3645, dan IHSG akan bergerak dilevel kisaran 3645-3673.
Berikut Chart IHSG per closing 18 Nov 2010:

Resistent-1=3667; Resistent-2=3777
Support-1=3645 (low wedge support), Support-2 = 3590, Support Trend = 3535
MACD&RSI Indicator= Limited downtrend
Rekomendasi Saham:
TLKM = 8400 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA=320 (Support baru = 310) => Target 360 (candle piercing line but need more volume)
BLTA=350 (Support =340) => Target 410
SMGR=9300 (Support= 9100) => Target 10000
INCO=4850 (Support= 4750) => Target 5100
INDF 5000 (Support =4875) => Target 5200
ADHI 940 (Support =900) => Target 1000
ISAT 5750 (Support =5600) => Target 6300
BUMI 2825 (New Support= 2625) => Target-1=2625 (done); Target-2=3000
UNVR 17000 (Support= 16100) => Target =17500 (maybe tommorow)
TINS 2875 (New Support=2800) = > Targer 3100
ANTM 2525 (New support 2450) => Target 2725
INTP 17000 (New support 16500) => Target 18350
JSMR 3525 (support 3400) => Target 3700 (candle v bottom but need more volume)

Second Liner (LQ45)
BIPI 102 (Support=100) => Target 109 (candle V bottom, volume increase)
ENRG  116 (support 101) => Target 120 (B7 euforia, candle bullish enguilfing)

IHSG Berhasil Menguji resistent 3633

Per-closing hari ini 16 Nov 2010 (16:00), IHSG berhasil mempertahankan support di 3633-3637 dan berhasil melewati resistent di 3667, untuk perdagangan selanjutnya IHSG diprediksi akan menguat dan bergerak dikisaran 3667-3777, Berikut Chartnya:

Resistent-1 = 3777
Support-1 = 3667; Support-2=3633

Rekomendasi: Support baru IHSG berada di level 3667, saham-2 yang sudah mantul dari supportnya siap untuk diakumulasi:

TLKM = 8150 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA=320 (Support baru = 310) => Target 360 (candle piercing line but need more volume)
BLTA=350 (Support =340) => Target 410
SMGR=9300 (Support= 9100) => Target 10000
INCO=4875 (Support= 4750) => Target 5100
INDF 5000 (Support =4875) => Target 5200
ADHI 940 (Support =900) => Target 1000
ISAT 5800 (Support =5600) => Target 6300
BUMI 2600 (Support= 2425) => Target-1=2625; Target-2=3000
UNVR 16700 (Support= 16100) => Target =17500
TINS 2875 (Support=2825) = > Targer 3100
ANTM 2575 (support 2525) => Target 2725
INTP 17000 (support 16900) => Target 18350

Second Liner (LQ45)
BIPI 104 (Support=100) => Target 109 (candle V bottom, volume increase)
ENRG  111 (support 109) => Target 120 (B7 euforia, candle bullish enguilfing)

SMGR Entry Signal

Entry Point = 9250-9400 (Bullish Engulfing, RSI Uptrend, MACD limited downtrend)
Target Profit Taking > 9850 (5-10 days)
Support: 9200 , Resistant: 9600 (Resistant upper wedge:9500)
Berikut chartnya:

UNVR Entry Signal

Entry Signal UNTR=16300-16600  (Candle Rounding Bottom, MACD Uptrend, RSI Uptrend)
Target > 17500 (3-7 days)
Support=16100 ; Resistant=17700
Berikut Chartnya:

Support IHSG di 3633 ?

Setelah mengalami penurunan selama 3 hari berturut2, hari ini 15 Nov 2010 (15:00), mulai terlihat support IHSG di 3633, Berikut Chart jam 15:00:

Resistent-1 = 3667; Resistent-2=3777
Support-1 = 3633; Support-2=3590

Rekomendasi: Support baru IHSG berada di level 3633, saham-2 yang sudah berada di supportnya siap untuk diakumulasi:

TLKM = 8150 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA=315 (Support= 300) => Target 360
BLTA=355 (Support =340) => Target 410
SMGR=9350 (Support= 9100) => Target 10000
INCO=4800 (Support= 4750) => Target 5100
INDF 4925 (Support =4875) => Target 5200
ADHI 920 (Support =900) => Target 1000
ISAT 5600 (Support =5600) => Target 6300
BUMI 2525 (Support= 2425) => Target-1=2625; Target-2=3000
UNVR 16550 (Support= 16100) => Target =17500

IHSG cenderung Terkoreksi

Setelah mengalami penguatan selama 5 hari berturut2, hari ini per-closing 11 Nov 2010 (16:00), IHSG mengalami koreksi sebesar -12.349 (-0.33%), berikut chart nya:

Resistent-1 = 3750
Support-1=3667; Support-2=3590; Support-3=3535 (Strong support)
Indicator: MACD=Limited Uptrend; RSI: Downtrend
IHSG Rekomendasi: IHSG dalam 5-10 hari trading kedepan cenderung mengalami koreksi, IHSG diprediksi akan membentuk support baru di area 3590-3667
Rekomendasi Saham: Saham2 yang masih diatas Support dan masih belum menyentuh resistent, masih berpeluang untuk naik, antara lain sebagai berikut:
TLKM = 8500 (Support= 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA=325 (Support= 320) => Target 360
BLTA=375 (Support =340) => Target 410
SMGR=9450 (Support= 9100) => Target 10000
INCO=4925 (Support= 4775) => Target 5100
GGRM 46900 (Support= 46650) => Target 48,500
INDF 5150 (Support =5050) => Target 5600
ADHI 940 (Support =910) => Target 1000
ISAT 5650 (Support =5650) => Target 6300
BUMI 2500 (Support= 2425) => Target-1=2625; Target-2=3000

Selamat untuk IHSG & Selamat datang Obama

Setelah berhasil menembus resistent di 3667, IHSG berhasil bertengger di level 3737, berikut candle Chart untuk IHSG per closing 09 Nov 2010:

Resistent-1=3742.77
Support-1 = 3667
Support-2 = 3890
Support-3 = 3535 (strong resistent/trend resistent)
Rekomendasi: IHSG masih berada pada Bullish Trend (uptrend), IHSG besok cenderung melemeah menguji resistent di 3667atau membentuk resistent baru, IHSG akan bergerak pada kisaran 3667-3750, saham2 pilihan adalah saham yang sudah rebound dari support tetapi masih belum menyentuh resistent nya (masih ketinggalan kereta):
TLKM (Support 7900) => Target 9200
ELSA (Support 320) => Target 360
BLTA (Support 340) => Target 410
SMGR (Support 9100) => Target 10000
INCO (Support 4775) => Target 5100
GGRM (Support 47300) => Target 52500
INDF (Support 5050) => Target 5600
ADHI (Support 960) => Target 1090
ISAT (Support 5650) => Target 6300

IPO Krakatau Steel Rp 850 / Lbr, Murah atau Mahal ?

Seperti kita ketahui bahwa Krakatau Steel akan Listing 20% dari total saham di Bursa Indonesia tertanggal 10 Nov 2010 di harga Rp 850 / lbr.

Dana IPO untuk kegunaan:
35.8% = > investarsi/modernisasi barang modal
24.2% => Modal kerja
25.0% => pematangan lahan seluas kurang lebih 388 hektar (peyertaan patungan dengan POSCO)
15.0% => modal kerja anak usaha KBS dan KDL.

Apakah 850 / lbr ini "murah atau mahal"?,
1) Berdasarkan data Fundamental yang di release sbb:
PER = (+- 6.5) & PBV=(+-) 2; serta Profit 2010 mengalami perbaikan  (+) dibanding 2009.
Relatif lebih murah dibandingkan dengan saham sejenis yang sdh listing JPRS => PER = 8.5  PBV=2.1
2) Berdasarkan data Technical Analisys :
Belum dapat dilihat karena belum listisng. Tapi biasanya beberapa hari pertama akan naik (euforia) kemudian koreksi untuk menentukan support yang baru (minimal dalam 2 minggu pertama baru mulai kelihatan).

Rekomendasi: Trading Buy (short term)

Senin, Saham apa ya?

Berikut Kondisi market Global & Regional Asia, pada penutupan jum'at 5 Nov 2010:

Penguatan harga Minyak & Gas Dunia,serta Logam, di tambah melemahnya nilai tukar dolar US terhadap hampir seluruh mata uang dunia, memicu naiknya hampir seluruh bursa di dunia. Saham2 pertambangan & Energi masih berpotensi naik seiring dengan meningkatnya harga jual Energi & Komoditi. Untuk Indonesia saham pilihan a.l : TINS, ANTM, INCO, PGAS, ELSA, INDY, BUMI, ITMG, ADRO, PTBA.

UPDATED IHSG (Closing 4 Nov 2010)

Sesuai dengan Analisa sebelumnya bahwa IHSG berada pada zona "Mid/ long Term" Uptrend Dengan Support "medium/long term" di 3,535 dan Resistant di 3,667.

Berikut Chart per end day closing 4 Nov 2010:

Diprediksi IHSG akan bergerak fluktuatif cenderung menguat dikisaran : 3590 - 3667, cenderung menguat karena diiringi penguatan Index Regional Asia & Dunia, serta kenaikan harga minyak mentah dan Gas serta logam.

Saham2 pilihan:
1) Buy TLKM (7900-8250) => Profit taking >= 9200( medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 8000 melebihi 100,000 lot
2) Buy TINS (2800-2900) => Profit taking >= 3175 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 2800 besar.
3) Buy ANTM (2500-2525) => Profit taking >= 2650 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 2500 besar.
4) Buy INCO (4675-4775) => Profit taking >= 5100 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 4650 besar.
5) Buy ELSA (320-335) => Profit taking >= 360 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 320 besar.
6) Buy ASII (54900-56000) => Profit taking >= 57900 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 54900 besar.
7) Buy SMCB(2225-2325) => Profit taking >= 2400 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 2225 besar.
8) Buy SMGR (9450-9650) => Profit taking >= 9900 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 9450 besar.
9) Buy BLTA (360-380) => Profit taking >= 410 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 355 besar.
10) Buy BUMI (2150-2250) => Profit taking >= 2425 (medium/long term); Cut loss jika volume done price < 2150 besar.